2023-24 NHL Preview: Team Rankings
In our annual season preview article, we take a look at all 32 teams and predict how their seasons will play out
Jeremy Evans - OCTOBER 7, 2023
The craziness of the NHL Summer has come and gone and fans are chomping at the bit for the upcoming season. With the start of the season imminent, it was time for the The Hockey News annual season predictions article. Before we take a look at how I did last season with my predictions, let's take a look at the tiers the teams will be separated by
Tier 1: Title Contenders - Teams that are Title or Bust this season
Tier 2: Fringe Title Contenders - Teams that aren't quite Title Contenders but are just a player breaking out or some luck away from a Stanley Cup
Tier 3: Outside the Cup Bubble - Teams that are good enough to make the playoffs but aren't expected to win the Cup
Tier 4: Playoff Bound - Teams expected to be in the playoffs but are likely to be knocked out early on
Tier 5: Fringe Playoff Teams - Teams that will be battling for the last playoff spots at the end of the season but will probably be on the outside looking in
Tier 6: Lottery Locks - Teams that are rebuilding that won't be in the playoff hunt and are locks for the lottery
Tier 7: Basement Dwellers - The worst teams in the league that will be competing for a Top 5 Pick in the upcoming Draft
Now that you've had a look at the different tiers, let's look at how I did last year with my picks
With all that out of the way, let's get into the 2023-24 NHL team rankings.
Tier 1 - Title Contenders
Colorado Avalanche
Additions - Connor Clifton (BOS), Braden Holtby (WSH), Mathieu Joseph (OTT), Henrik Borgstrom (CHI), Niko Mikkola (EDM)
Subtractions - J.T. Compher (DAL)
You know Nathan MacKinnon and the Avalanche aren't satisfied with one Stanley Cup. They'll be back for their second this season and they clearly have the team to do it
Pittsburgh Penguins
Additions - David Pastrnak (BOS), Zemgus Girgensons (BUF), Casey DeSmith (PHI), Mason Appleton (STL)
Subtractions - Tristan Jarry (SEA), Jason Zucker (STL), Teddy Blueger (PHI)
Acquiring as great as a player as David Pastrnak immediately catapults the Penguins into title contention. Pittsburgh is going all out for their last competitive seasons with Crosby and Malkin. With the loss of Tristan Jarry, goaltending is the only question mark for this team.
Toronto Maple Leafs
Additions - Frederik Andersen (CAR), Roman Zidlicky (DRAFT)
Subtractions - Justin Holl (BOS)
With the chance to win their first Stanley Cup since 1967, the Game 7 loss hurt that much more. On the bright side, this team beat the first round curse and did it against the rival Bruins. They'll be back for vengeance this season with a young roster that features five rookies.
Tier 2 - Fringe Title Contenders
Minnesota Wild
Additions - Travis Sanheim (PHI), Antti Raanta (ARI)
Subtractions - Marcus Foligno (CGY), Marc-Andre Fleury (LA), Dmitry Kulikov (VGK), Jordan Greenway (STL), Derek Ryan (FLA), Jacob Middleton (WPG)
For the second straight season the Wild lost to the eventual Stanley Cup Champion. Minnesota needed something to just get over the hump and I think they found it in Travis Sanheim. He's an elite defenseman that forms a scary trio on the backend with Jared Surgeon and Jonas Brodin. I think Minnesota is due for a long playoff run in 2024.
New York Islanders
Additions - N/A
Subtractions - Scott Mayfield (STL), Zach Parise (DAL)
They didn't add anyone major to the roster but were able to resign Patrice Bergeron, albeit at the expense of defender Scott Mayfield. They'll remain a competitive team this season but have an aging roster that won't be able to make playoff runs for much longer. They'd better capitalize now while they still can
Florida Panthers
Additions - Cal Foote (TB), Paul Byron (MTL), Derek Ryan (MIN), Victor Olofsson (SJ), Adam Erne (DET)
Subtractions - Patric Hornqvist (WPG), Joachim Blichfeld (DAL)
They had a great regular season before floundering in the playoffs, leaving a bad taste in the Panthers mouths. They didn't lose anyone major in the offseason and will try and make their way back to the Stanley Cup Finals this season.
Edmonton Oilers
Additions - Olli Maatta (OTT), Mark Borowiecki (DET)
Subtractions - Michael Bunting (NSH), Jonathan Drouin (PHI), Noel Acciari (WSH), Niko Mikkola (COL)
The Oilers were a Game 7 win away from beating the eventual Cup winning Avalanche. They were also a Game 7 loss away from losing to the Coyotes in round one. That sums up Edmonton in a nutshell. They're a wildcard team that may not deserve to be in this tier, but I'm not going to be the dummy that bets against McDavid and Draisaitl.
Tier 3 - Outside the Cup Bubble
New York Rangers
Additions - N/A
Subtractions - Jason Spezza (BOS), Vitali Kravtsov (NSH), Lauri Pajuniemi (VAN)
They went from 88 points in 2022 to leading the East in 2023 with 107 points. Despite going out in round one to the Lightning, this Rangers team is no pushover. The young kids (Lafreniere, Kakko, Miller) are growing into their own and they still have top end players in Panarin, Shesterkin and Fox. They'll just need to bear down come playoff time
Tampa Bay Lightning
Additions - Jordan Staal (CAR)
Subtractions - Alex Killorn (WPG), Cal Foote (FLA), Ross Colton (DET), Brian Elliot (RETIRED)
The Lightning really struggled in the regular season last year. They were the last team in the East to make the playoffs and won 7 less games than the year prior. A lot of it falls on Vasi struggling last season but kudos to him, he brought his "A" game in the playoffs. I think last year was a one off and they'll be back to the top of the table in 2023-24.
Vegas Golden Knights
Additions - Jonathan Toews (CHI), Tomas Tatar (NJ), Dmitry Kulikov (MIN), Jesper Fast (CAR), Garnet Hathaway (WSH),
Subtractions - Max Pacioretty (PHI), Dylan Coghlan (CGY), Laurent Brossoit (CAR)
Choosing to bring in Jonathan Toews and Tomas Tatar instead of resigning Max Pacioretty was a bold one. I think it gives more depth to the Golden Knights forward core which will be key come playoff time. Kulikov is a sneaky good addition on the backend after he was a shutdown defenseman in Minnesota for the past few seasons. They'll be a tough team to eliminate in a best of seven series
Tier 4 - Playoff Bound
Vancouver Canucks
Additions - Alex Nedeljkovic (DET), Cody Glass (NSH), Riley Nash (WSH), Lauri Pajuniemi (NYR), Nick Blankenburg (CBJ),
Subtractions - N/A
The Canucks were the team I was most wrong on last season in my predictions. I had them in the lottery tier before the season and they went out and had 47 wins and 100 points. Can't win 'em all am I right? They don't have a star player that can take over games but get wins by committee. The Hughes and Burns D-Pairing has surprisingly been successful and Vancouver is trusting their roster to get them back to the Playoffs this season
Carolina Hurricanes
Additions - Ryan O'Reilly (STL), Nick Jensen (WSH), Junior MacLeod (DRAFT), Semyon Varlamov (LA), Laurent Brossoit (VGK)
Subtractions - Frederik Andersen (TOR), Jordan Staal (TB), Jesper Fast (VGK), Jake Gardiner (BUF)
Plain and simple, GM Don Waddell's job is on the line this season. The team has faltered for two straight seasons with a roster that should most definitely be competitive. They added two huge free agents in Ryan O'Reilly and Nick Jensen. Both will give the Hurricanes veteran experience and leadership in the locker room. They decided not to bring back Andersen and signed Varlamov. Will he be able to hold down the fort in net this season?
Calgary Flames
Additions - Marcus Foligno (MIN), James van Riemsdyk (OTT), Jeffery Bendahan (DRAFT), Carl Grundstrom (LA), Dylan Coghlan (VGK), Kyle Capobianoc (ARI), Sami Niku (DET)
Subtractions - Dmitrij Jaskin (WSH), Andrew Cogliano (RETIRED)
In 2021, Calgary had the #2 Defense in the NHL. It was the main reason for their success that season. When that defense fell to #16 last season, the Flames found themselves as the 7th worst team in the League. They didn't make any major defensive changes in the offseason but acquired a physical two-way forward in Foligno and brought some offensive firepower with JVR and Rookie Bendahan. They should find themselves back in the Playoffs this season
Winnipeg Jets
Additions - Alex Killorn (TB), Patric Hornqvist (FLA), Jonathan Bernier (NJ), Jacob Middleton (MIN)
Subtractions - Pierre Engvall (STL)
If this team can just not run into the Minnesota Wild in the Playoffs, they should be set to make a decent playoff run. Minny just seems to be Winnipeg's kryptonite. They better hope for success this season because they got some big expiring contracts after the year. Scheifele, Hellebuyck will be UFA's while Perfetti will be an RFA. If I had to guess, at least one of those players will not be returning to the 'Peg after the season.
Arizona Coyotes
Additions - Tyler Bertuzzi (DET), Tanner Jeannot (NSH), James Reimer (SJ)
Subtractions - Shayne Gostisbehere (PHI), Antti Raanta (MIN), Kyle Capobianoc (CGY), Nick Ritchie (WSH) Nick Cousins (PHI)
They were oh so close to beating the Oilers in round one but Patrick Kane and company just couldn't quite get it done. On the bright side, the Coyotes have their best team since 2012 when they went to the Conference Finals. Adding Bertuzzi in free agency is a savvy signing and Jeannot is a young power winger that will create havoc in the bottom six. They'll be a fun team to watch in the desert
Anaheim Ducks
Additions - Vladislav Gavrikov (CBJ)
Subtractions - Zach Sanford (WSH)
Make it two years in a row that the Ducks have been the best team in the West to not make the playoffs. Last year was supposed to be the year they broke out as a competitor at the top of the Pacific. That wasn't the case. Adding Gavrikov can help them do that and I believe they will finally take that next step.
Tier 5 - Fringe Playoff Teams
Washington Capitals
Additions - Troy Stecher (SEA), Nikita Zadorov (NSH), Zach Sanford (ANA), Dmitrij Jaskin (CGY), Nick Ritchie (ARI), Nick Holden (OTT), Taylor Gauthier (FA), Noel Acciari (EDM)
Subtractions - Nick Jensen (CAR), Conor Sheary (STL), Braden Holtby (COL), Lars Eller (BOS), Zdeno Chara (RETIRED), Garnet Hathaway (VGK), Riley Nash (VAN), Trevor van Riemsdyk (SJ), Dennis Cholowski (SJ)
It might be surprising to see Washington in the "Fringe Playoff Teams" tier. The Capitals had a lot of roster turnover this offseason. 8 roster players moved on this offseason and 9 more came in. With such a different group, Washington will need to create chemistry with each other. It might set them back to start to the season. With how many good teams are out East, some really good teams are going to miss. The Caps could be one of them. Another thing worth mentioning, Ovechkin is 66 goals away from tying Wayne Gretzky's goal record of 894. It won't happen this season but 2024-25 could be a possibility.
Ottawa Senators
Additions - Nico Sturm (PHI), Gustav Lindstrom (DET),
Subtractions - Connor Brown (NJ), James van Riemsdyk (CGY), Olli Maatta (EDM), Mathieu Joseph (COL), Michael Del Zotto (SEA), Nick Holden (WSH)
The fruits of their rebuilds labor is starting to really come together and the Senators are on the cusp of being a playoff team. They seemed certain to make it last season before collapsing down the stretch. It's unfortunate they're in a tough Eastern Conference because they would be a playoff team out West. If the young guys can continue to grow they'll be a force in no time
New Jersey Devils
Additions - Andrew Copp (CBJ), Connor Brown (OTT),
Subtractions - Tomas Tatar (VGK), Yegor Sharangovich (DET), Miles Wood (DAL), Andreas Johnsson (SEA), Ryan Graves (MTL), Jonathan Bernier (WPG)
On paper, the Devils should be playoff bound. The results however just haven't been there. They'll have Liam Samuelsson as a rookie, a full season of Luke Hughes and free agents Copp and Brown in their first seasons as New Jersey Devils. As I've said before, the East is just so deep this year which may leave the Devils out of the playoff picture.
Montreal Canadiens
Additions - Ryan Graves (NJ)
Subtractions - Paul Byron (FLA)
You may notice five out of the six teams in this tier are from the East. With all these good teams in one conference, it makes it difficult to see how Montreal will fall into the fold. They didn't make any big moves and missed the playoffs by 5 points the year prior. They'll need big progression from Caufield and Suzuki this season to see playoff action
Philadelphia Flyers
Additions - Max Pacioretty (VGK), Jonathan Drouin (EDM), Shayne Gostisbehere (ARI), Hampus Lindholm (BOS), Sergey Afinogenov (DRAFT), Teddy Blueger (PIT), Ondrej Kase (BUF), Nick Cousins (ARI)
Subtractions - Travis Sanheim (MIN), Joel Farabee (BOS), Casey DeSmith (PIT), Andreas Athanasiou (DET), Calle Jarnkrok (SJ), Nico Sturm (OTT)
If you told the Flyers at the end of last season that Max Pacioretty would join their team for next season, they wouldn't believe you. The 50 goal scorer will put on a Flyers uniform and, along with other big additions, will give the team the possibility of a playoff appearance. After two years in the bottom two spots of the Eastern Conference, Flyers fans have something to cheer for.
Seattle Kraken
Additions - Tristan Jarry (PIT), Brett Wolf (DRAFT), Andreas Johnsson (NJ), Alexander Radulov (LA), Linus Weissbach (BUF), Michael Del Zotto (OTT),
Subtractions - Troy Stecher (WSH), Joonas Donskoi (DAL), Carson Soucy (SJ), Daniel Sprong (STL)
Drafting Wolf and signing Jarry were key moves by the Kraken this offseason and should be able to push them out of the basement of the NHL. GM Ron Francis believes it as well, showcased by his signings of Radulov, Johnsson and Del Zotto. They'll be looking to make their first playoff appearance this season
Tier 6 - Lottery Locks
Boston Bruins
Additions - Joe Pavelski (DAL), Joel Farabee (PHI), Jason Spezza (NYR), Jacob Peterson (DAL), Justin Holl (TOR), Lars Eller (WSH)
Subtractions - David Pastrnak (PIT), Hampus Lindholm (PHI), Connor Clifton (COL), Erik Haula (STL)
Talk about a tough couple of years for Bruins fans. First they lost their longtime captain Bergeron. Then to pour salt in the wound they lost their superstar right winger David Pastrnak. Fans are calling for GM Don Sweeney's head and it's not without merit. He added Pavelski in free agency and Farabee via trade to soften the blow of Pasta's exit. It's hard to not see them fall big time in the standings compared to last season
San Jose Sharks
Additions - Matvei Michkov (DRAFT), Calle Jarnkrok (PHI), Carson Soucy (SEA), Markus Nutivaara (CHI), Joel Hanley (DAL), Trevor van Riemsdyk (WSH), Dennis Cholowski (WSH)
Subtractions - Marc-Edouard Vlasic (RETIRED), Matt Dumba (STL), James Reimer (ARI), Matt Nieto (STL), Victor Olofsson (FLA)
Missing the playoffs by two points was a tough pill to swallow at the time, but it was a blessing in disguise for San Jose. They moved up seven spots in the Draft lottery and were blessed with Matvei Michkov at the second overall pick. He'll battle Bedard for the Calder Trophy while the Sharks will almost certainly miss the playoffs.
Detroit Red Wings
Additions - Yegor Sharangovich (NJ), Andreas Athanasiou (PHI), Ross Colton (TB), Alexandre Carrier (NSH)
Subtractions - Tyler Bertuzzi (ARI), Alex Nedeljkovic (VAN), Pius Suter (BUF), Gustav Lindstrom (OTT), Sami Niku (CGY), Adam Erne (FLA), Mark Borowiecki (EDM)
I'm seeing a pattern here of big free agent signings not leading to success the following year. Detroit severely underperformed to their expectations, albeit in a stacked Eastern Conference. Losing Bertuzzi is a major loss but maybe Sharangovich can soften the blow? Unless Kuemper plays like he did two years ago, the Red Wings will miss the playoffs
Los Angeles Kings
Additions - Marc-Andre Fleury (MIN)
Subtractions - Semyon Varlamov (CAR), Alexander Radulov (SEA), Jonathan Quick (STL), Carl Grundstrom (CGY)
Not unlike the Predators, the flashy signings they had in the offseason baited me into thinking the Kings would be a lock for the playoffs. Ultimately they missed out on the final playoff spot in the West and were listening to offers for Kris Letang by the deadline. They've swapped out 80 year old Jonathan Quick for 81 year old Marc-Andre Fleury. Reuniting "Flower" and "Tanger" is nice to see but this team isn't going to be one we see come playoff time.
Dallas Stars
Additions - Vincent Trocheck (NSH), Brett Connolly (CHI), J.T. Compher (COL), Joachim Blichfeld (FLA), Joonas Donskoi (SEA), Zach Parise (NYI), Miles Wood (NJ)
Subtractions - Joe Pavelski (BOS), Jacob Peterson (BOS), Joel Hanley (SJ)
Besides Robertson and Hintz, the Stars forward core is in a rough spot. They have a TON of money locked up with Tyler Seguin, Jamie Benn is no longer a top six player and they lost Joe Pavelski in free agency. They have a young big three of Robertson, Heiskanen and Oetttinger which gives them great building blocks. However, as of this moment the Stars are not a competitive team.
Nashville Predators
Additions - Connor Bedard (DRAFT), Michael Bunting (EDM), Vitali Kravtsov (NYR),
Subtractions - Vincent Trocheck (DAL), Nikita Zadorov (WSH), Alexandre Carrier (DET), Tanner Jeannot (ARI), Cody Glass (VAN)
I was fooled by the their free agenct signings last offseason but the Preds were pretenders. Both Trocheck and Zadorov left after one season but I'd say their in a better spot now than before. Connor Bedard will have Nashville up on their feet this season, just not up in the standings.
Tier 7 - Basement Dwellers
Buffalo Sabres
Additions - Pius Suter (DET), Dalibor Dvorsky (DRAFT), Jake Gardiner (CAR)
Subtractions - Zemgus Girgensons (PIT), Kyle Okposo (CBJ), Ondrej Kase (PHI), Linus Weissbach (SEA)
Dvorsky made the team out of camp and will start the season with the big squad. It still doesn't solve the Sabres problem of way to many young centers. If one of them can't make a move to the wing, one of them will find themselves out of Buffalo. Regardless, they're going to be bad again
Columbus Blue Jackets
Additions - Nick Bjugstad (CHI), Kyle Okposo (BUF)
Subtractions - Vladislav Gavrikov (ANA), Andrew Copp (NJ), Gustav Nyquist (CHI), Nick Blankenburg (VAN)
Man. This Jackets team is bad. Outside of Bjorkstrand and the Werenski and Boqvist D-Pairing, everyone else on the roster is either declining, not good enough or too young to really contribute yet. Laine hasn't been the same player since leaving the Jets. Voracek has become injury prone and isn't reliable. Young guns Sillinger and Chinakhov will be thrown into the deep end. Will they be able to stay afloat or will they drown?
St. Louis Blues
Additions - Scott Mayfield (NYI), Matt Dumba (SJ), Conor Sheary (WSH), Jason Zucker (PIT), Jordan Greenway (MIN), Erik Haula (BOS), Pierre Engvall (WPG), Matt Nieto (SJ), Jonathan Quick (LA), Daniel Sprong (SEA)
Subtractions - Ryan O'Reilly (CAR), Mason Appleton (PIT), Tyler Bozak (RETIRED)
They heavily overpaid for Scott Mayfield and Matt Dumba didn't come cheap. O'Reilly had enough of the losing and jumped ship. They're not going to be competitive anytime soon. They can look forward toward a future surrounded by the newly nicknamed "Matthew Squared", Savoie and Wood.
Chicago Blackhawks
Additions - Adam Fantilli (DRAFT), Gustav Nyquist (CBJ),
Subtractions - Jonathan Toews (VGK), Nick Bjugstad (CBJ), Henrik Borgstrom (COL), Markus Nutivaara (SEA), Brett Connolly (DAL)
Toews was the last piece remaining of those Cup winning Blackhawks and now Chicago enters a new era. One that many hope will be led by recently drafted Adam Fantilli. They'll be bad again this season and will get another top prospect
Predictions
Eastern Conference Finals - New York Rangers vs Pittsburgh Penguins
The Rangers young core will really show out with Lafreniere putting his foot through the door of stardom. Shesterkin will give it his all but facing a quartet of Corsby, Malkin, Pasta and Guentzel may be too much for him.
Western Conference Finals - Colorado Avalanche vs Minnesota Wild
With the addition of Sanheim, I think the Wild will be the best competition for the Avs out West. This series the second time around would go longer than the 5 games last postseason.
Stanley Cup Finals - Colorado Avalanche vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Nova Scotia boys Mackinnon and Crosby facing off in the Stanley Cup Final? You can guarantee I'm buying tickets to that game. Sid the Kid going for Cup #4 while Nate Dogg goes for the back-to-back.